Graduation and survival
Graduation share per launchpad, from the chain's own logs.
2026-09-12
Pons
424,768 launches · 7,387 graduations · first launch at block 27,027,321
- Within 1 hour
- 1.49%[1.45%, 1.53%] n=423,748
- Within 24 hours
- 1.69%[1.65%, 1.73%] n=408,481
- Within 7 days
- 1.73%[1.68%, 1.78%] n=254,733
Of those that graduated: a quarter under 35s, half under 3.3 min and nine in ten under 2.2h.
LONG
37,498 launches · 0 graduations · first launch at block 8,658,626
- Within 1 hour
- 0.00%[0.00%, 0.01%] n=37,332
- Within 24 hours
- 0.00%[0.00%, 0.01%] n=33,251
- Within 7 days
- 0.00%[0.00%, 0.02%] n=24,160
No graduation here, so no curve.
four.meme
Not answered
This reading swept chain 4663. This launchpad is on another chain.
Flap
Not answered
No event here names a graduation, so nothing to count. Not a rate of zero: the lookup is missing.
How long a Pons launch trades
1,000 of 408,481 launches with a full day behind them, sampled by address. A sample, not the population, so the first figure carries an interval.
- Never had a single trade: 18.30%[16.03%, 20.82%] n=1,000
- Of the 817 that did trade, a median of 10 trades, and 3 were still trading.
- Half had stopped trading by 15.8 min, nine in ten by 3.0d.
A launch that never traded is held out rather than entered at zero: it never started. Stopped means 6.0h quiet, since no event says a token is finished.
Signals present at launch, Pons
Share of each side graduating within 24 hours. Not a prediction.